Magdalena Storm Chase: Day #6 Predictions


After the excitement of yesterday, today is a little slower.

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a large Slight Risk area for today.  Even though this threat is large, we will linger near the western part of this threat.

Associated with the Slight Risk, there is a 2% Tornado Threat Ring.

The surface observations show high humidity, mild temperatures and sunny skies for most of Texas.  Winds are from the southeast, bringing some more moisture our way.

The visible satellite imagery shows nice sunny skies so far this morning.  There is a little morning convection near the Oklahoma border, but otherwise, we will take full advantage of diurnal heating today- unlike every day on this chase thus far.

The 12 Z  upper air sounding from Amarillo, TX, is actually better than I anticipated.  There was 590 J/kg of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), -464 J/kg of Convective Inhibition (CINH)…

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